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Why the Predictor Favors Lowellville
Lowellville carries a 55% modeled win probability because Recent head-to-head favors Lowellville; All-time series favors Lowellville; Program strength favors Independence. The model refreshes as new results are entered.
The Ohio Varsity Matchup Predictor™ uses the previous three seasons as an early program-strength baseline, then shifts weight toward current-season record and PF/PA as results accumulate. Recent head-to-head results, strength of schedule, momentum and the longer recorded series provide additional context. An unfollowed team's missing data remains neutral instead of erasing known information about its opponent. Home field receives a small adjustment. Predicted score and win probability are editorial estimates, not betting lines.
Historical Notes
Lowellville Win
- Lowellville is now 80-23 when scoring 21-30 points since 1972.
Other Statistical Notes
- This is the 1st recorded meeting between Lowellville and Independence since 1972.
- Series: Lowellville is 1-0 against Independence since 1972; average score 24.0-20.0.
- Lowellville's largest recorded win in the series: Oct. 30, 2026 • 24-20.
- Highest-scoring meeting: Oct. 30, 2026 • 24-20.
Program Milestones
- Lowellville has recorded 58 shutouts since 1972; the most recent was Oct. 16, 2026.
- Lowellville has scored 40+ points 67 times since 1972 (most recently Sep. 11, 2026).
- The program has reached 50+ points 25 times since 1972 (most recently Aug. 28, 2026).
- Independence has recorded 88 shutouts since 1972; the most recent was Oct. 16, 2026.
- Independence has scored 40+ points 79 times since 1972 (most recently Oct. 23, 2026).
- The program has reached 50+ points 21 times since 1972 (most recently Oct. 13, 2017).
Record by Points Scored
Program record in games falling within each scoring range.
Lowellville scoring history
Independence scoring history
Lowellville Results vs. Independence
| Date | Location | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Oct. 30, 2026 | Independence | Lowellville W 24-20 |
Historical Data: Series records shown here cover 1972 through the latest imported season. Earlier meetings may not be included.
Top Performers
Lowellville



Independence



Lowellville — Last 5 vs. Independence
Lowellville vs. Independence Series Notes
Latest meeting: Oct. 30, 2026 • Lowellville W 24-20
First recorded meeting: Oct. 30, 2026
Lowellville longest winning streak: W 1
Independence longest winning streak: —
Largest Lowellville win: Oct. 30, 2026 • 24-20
Highest-scoring game: Oct. 30, 2026 • 24-20
Closest game: Oct. 30, 2026 • 24-20
Average score: Lowellville 24.0 • Independence 20.0
Team Stats
| Stat Category | Lowellville | Independence |
|---|---|---|
| Passing | ||
| Yards | 534 | 1002 |
| Comp-Att | 28-49 | 92-152 |
| Comp % | 57.1% | 60.5% |
| Yards/Att | 10.9 | 6.6 |
| TD / INT | 8 / 2 | 9 / 3 |
| Rushing | ||
| Yards | 477 | 1367 |
| Attempts | 48 | 251 |
| Yards/Carry | 9.9 | 5.4 |
| Touchdowns | 1 | 16 |
| Receiving | ||
| Yards | 435 | 962 |
| Receptions | 25 | 87 |
| Yards/Catch | 17.4 | 11.1 |
| Touchdowns | 1 | 31 |
| Defense | ||
| Tackles | 0 | 121 |
| Sacks | 0 | 19 |
| Interceptions | 0 | 0 |
Player Stats
Lowellville Stats (2026-2027)
| # | Player | CMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | Y/G | TD | INT | LONG | QB RTG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Ricky Willrich | 28 | 49 | 57.1% | 534 | 178.0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 117.7 |
| # | Player | ATT | YDS | AVG | Y/G | LONG | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Daniel Huff | 33 | 318 | 9.6 | 106.0 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Donnie Sudon | 3 | 72 | 24.0 | 24.0 | 60 | 0 |
| 6 | Anthony Kacir | 5 | 65 | 13.0 | 21.7 | 0 | 0 |
| 0 | Brody Daniels | 4 | 19 | 4.8 | 6.3 | 9 | 0 |
| 2 | Ricky Willrich | 2 | 2 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 | Jakob Primous | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0 | 0 |
| # | Player | REC | YDS | AVG | Y/G | LONG | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Anthony Kacir | 7 | 160 | 22.9 | 53.3 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Carter Hvisdak | 7 | 158 | 22.6 | 52.7 | 45 | 1 |
| 14 | Michael Lucido | 6 | 51 | 8.5 | 17.0 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 | Daniel Huff | 2 | 50 | 25.0 | 16.7 | 0 | 0 |
| 0 | Brody Daniels | 3 | 16 | 5.3 | 5.3 | 0 | 0 |
| # | Player | RUSH | REC | KR | PR | IR | TOTAL | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Daniel Huff | 318 | 50 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 368 | 122.7 |
| 6 | Anthony Kacir | 65 | 160 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 225 | 75.0 |
| 4 | Carter Hvisdak | 0 | 158 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 158 | 52.7 |
| 9 | Donnie Sudon | 72 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 72 | 24.0 |
| 14 | Michael Lucido | 0 | 51 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 51 | 17.0 |
| 0 | Brody Daniels | 19 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 35 | 11.7 |
| 2 | Ricky Willrich | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.7 |
| 23 | Jakob Primous | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.3 |
| # | Player | RUSH | PASS | REC | TOTAL | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Ricky Willrich | 2 | 534 | 0 | 536 | 178.7 |
| 22 | Daniel Huff | 318 | 0 | 50 | 368 | 122.7 |
| 6 | Anthony Kacir | 65 | 0 | 160 | 225 | 75.0 |
| 4 | Carter Hvisdak | 0 | 0 | 158 | 158 | 52.7 |
| 9 | Donnie Sudon | 72 | 0 | 0 | 72 | 24.0 |
| 14 | Michael Lucido | 0 | 0 | 51 | 51 | 17.0 |
| 0 | Brody Daniels | 19 | 0 | 16 | 35 | 11.7 |
| 23 | Jakob Primous | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.3 |
Independence Stats (2026-2027)
| # | Player | CMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | Y/G | TD | INT | LONG | QB RTG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Matthew Avila | 91 | 151 | 60.3% | 998 | 99.8 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 89.2 |
| 8 | Levi Sears | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 4 | 0.6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 141.7 |
| # | Player | ATT | YDS | AVG | Y/G | LONG | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | Maverick Durden | 118 | 724 | 6.1 | 80.4 | 57 | 10 |
| 4 | Mace Durden | 74 | 339 | 4.6 | 33.9 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | Levi Sears | 38 | 228 | 6.0 | 32.6 | 0 | 5 |
| 1 | Lucas Mlynarczyk | 14 | 38 | 2.7 | 3.8 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 | Matthew Avila | 5 | 23 | 4.6 | 2.3 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Ryan Suhy | 1 | 8 | 8.0 | 0.8 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Bobby Jackson | 1 | 7 | 7.0 | 0.7 | 0 | 0 |
| # | Player | REC | YDS | AVG | Y/G | LONG | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Ryan Suhy | 14 | 183 | 13.1 | 18.3 | 0 | 2 |
| 6 | Bobby Jackson | 8 | 156 | 19.5 | 15.6 | 31 | 2 |
| 9 | Shane Korinek | 18 | 146 | 8.1 | 16.2 | 0 | 1 |
| 7 | Owen Malone | 9 | 143 | 15.9 | 15.9 | 0 | 2 |
| 33 | Maverick Durden | 13 | 119 | 9.2 | 13.2 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Levi Sears | 13 | 118 | 9.1 | 16.9 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Mace Durden | 4 | 32 | 8.0 | 3.2 | 15 | 0 |
| 2 | Devin Howatt | 3 | 26 | 8.7 | 2.9 | 14 | 0 |
| 5 | Dominic DiGeronimo | 2 | 24 | 12.0 | 3.4 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Lucas Mlynarczyk | 2 | 14 | 7.0 | 1.4 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 | Alex Barry | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0 | 0 |
| # | Player | RUSH | REC | KR | PR | IR | TOTAL | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | Maverick Durden | 724 | 119 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 843 | 84.3 |
| 4 | Mace Durden | 339 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 371 | 33.7 |
| 8 | Levi Sears | 228 | 118 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 346 | 49.4 |
| 12 | Ryan Suhy | 8 | 183 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 191 | 17.4 |
| 6 | Bobby Jackson | 7 | 156 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 163 | 14.8 |
| 9 | Shane Korinek | 0 | 146 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 146 | 14.6 |
| 7 | Owen Malone | 0 | 143 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 143 | 14.3 |
| 1 | Lucas Mlynarczyk | 38 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 52 | 4.7 |
| 2 | Devin Howatt | 0 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 2.6 |
| 5 | Dominic DiGeronimo | 0 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 3.0 |
| 10 | Matthew Avila | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 2.3 |
| 21 | Alex Barry | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.3 |
| # | Player | RUSH | PASS | REC | TOTAL | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Matthew Avila | 23 | 998 | 0 | 1,021 | 102.1 |
| 33 | Maverick Durden | 724 | 0 | 119 | 843 | 93.7 |
| 4 | Mace Durden | 339 | 0 | 32 | 371 | 37.1 |
| 8 | Levi Sears | 228 | 4 | 118 | 350 | 50.0 |
| 12 | Ryan Suhy | 8 | 0 | 183 | 191 | 19.1 |
| 6 | Bobby Jackson | 7 | 0 | 156 | 163 | 16.3 |
| 9 | Shane Korinek | 0 | 0 | 146 | 146 | 16.2 |
| 7 | Owen Malone | 0 | 0 | 143 | 143 | 15.9 |
| 1 | Lucas Mlynarczyk | 38 | 0 | 14 | 52 | 5.2 |
| 2 | Devin Howatt | 0 | 0 | 26 | 26 | 2.9 |
| 5 | Dominic DiGeronimo | 0 | 0 | 24 | 24 | 3.4 |
| 21 | Alex Barry | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.3 |
| # | Player | SOLO | AST | TOTAL | TFL | SACK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | Nicolas Spencer | 20.0 | 6.0 | 26.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 |
| 2 | Devin Howatt | 4.0 | 9.0 | 13.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 8 | Levi Sears | 8.0 | 4.0 | 12.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 |
| 53 | Jeremy Jacob | 4.0 | 6.0 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| 12 | Ryan Suhy | 6.0 | 3.0 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 |
| 6 | Bobby Jackson | 3.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 1 | Lucas Mlynarczyk | 2.0 | 6.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 4 | Mace Durden | 3.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| 33 | Maverick Durden | 5.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 |
| 21 | Alex Barry | 1.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 9 | Shane Korinek | 3.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 |
| 50 | Matthew Masalanka | 2.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 7 | Owen Malone | 2.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 55 | Jack Fortesque | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 3 | David DiGeronimo | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 14 | Nolan Mandfredonia | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| # | Player | SACK | YDL | HUR | TACK | TFL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Jackson Scarcella | 5.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 12 | Ryan Suhy | 5.0 | 110.0 | 44.2 | 9.0 | 0.0 |
| 9 | Shane Korinek | 3.0 | 62.0 | 20.7 | 5.0 | 0.0 |
| 8 | Levi Sears | 2.0 | 12.0 | 0.0 | 12.0 | 2.0 |
| 53 | Jeremy Jacob | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 10.0 | 0.0 |
| 4 | Mace Durden | 1.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 |
| 33 | Maverick Durden | 1.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 |
| 52 | Nicolas Spencer | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 26.0 | 3.0 |


