


Why the Predictor Favors Copley
Copley carries a 51% modeled win probability because Recent head-to-head favors Padua; Current season favors Copley; Program strength favors Copley. The model refreshes as new results are entered.
The Ohio Varsity Matchup Predictor™ uses the previous three seasons as an early program-strength baseline, then shifts weight toward current-season record and PF/PA as results accumulate. Recent head-to-head results, strength of schedule, momentum and the longer recorded series provide additional context. An unfollowed team's missing data remains neutral instead of erasing known information about its opponent. Home field receives a small adjustment. Predicted score and win probability are editorial estimates, not betting lines.
Historical Notes
Padua Win
- Padua is now 78-2 when scoring 31-40 points since 1972.
- 22 points is Padua's largest winning margin since Sep. 18, 2026.
Other Statistical Notes
- This is the 2nd recorded meeting between Padua and Copley since 1972.
- Series: Padua is 1-1 against Copley since 1972; average score 24.5-20.0.
- Padua's largest recorded win in the series: Oct. 30, 2026 • 35-13.
- Highest-scoring meeting: Oct. 30, 2026 • 35-13.
Program Milestones
- Padua has recorded 64 shutouts since 1972; the most recent was Sep. 20, 2024.
- Padua has scored 40+ points 39 times since 1972 (most recently Sep. 18, 2026).
- The program has reached 50+ points 6 times since 1972 (most recently Oct. 21, 2022).
- Copley has recorded 45 shutouts since 1972; the most recent was Oct. 10, 2025.
- Copley has scored 40+ points 75 times since 1972 (most recently Oct. 9, 2026).
- The program has reached 50+ points 20 times since 1972 (most recently Aug. 28, 2026).
Record by Points Scored
Program record in games falling within each scoring range.
Padua scoring history
Copley scoring history
Padua Results vs. Copley
| Date | Location | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Oct. 30, 2026 | Copley | Padua W 35-13 |
| Nov. 1, 2003 | Padua Stadium | Padua L 14-27 |
Historical Data: Series records shown here cover 1972 through the latest imported season. Earlier meetings may not be included.
Top Performers
Padua



Copley



Padua — Last 5 vs. Copley
Padua vs. Copley Series Notes
Latest meeting: Oct. 30, 2026 • Padua W 35-13
First recorded meeting: Nov. 1, 2003
Padua longest winning streak: W 1
Copley longest winning streak: W 1
Largest Padua win: Oct. 30, 2026 • 35-13
Highest-scoring game: Oct. 30, 2026 • 35-13
Closest game: Nov. 1, 2003 • 14-27
Average score: Padua 24.5 • Copley 20.0
Team Stats
| Stat Category | Padua | Copley |
|---|---|---|
| Passing | ||
| Yards | 1530 | 2350 |
| Comp-Att | 122-244 | 153-261 |
| Comp % | 50.0% | 58.6% |
| Yards/Att | 6.3 | 9.0 |
| TD / INT | 13 / 12 | 25 / 9 |
| Rushing | ||
| Yards | 1445 | 1866 |
| Attempts | 284 | 317 |
| Yards/Carry | 5.1 | 5.9 |
| Touchdowns | 14 | 22 |
| Receiving | ||
| Yards | 1541 | 2350 |
| Receptions | 120 | 153 |
| Yards/Catch | 12.8 | 15.4 |
| Touchdowns | 13 | 25 |
Player Stats
Padua Stats (2026-2027)
| # | Player | CMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | Y/G | TD | INT | LONG | QB RTG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Donavin Friscone | 115 | 224 | 51.3% | 1,474 | 136.8 | 13 | 10 | 64 | 73.0 |
| 1 | Colin Grealis | 7 | 20 | 35.0% | 56 | 18.7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5.7 |
| # | Player | ATT | YDS | AVG | Y/G | LONG | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Maks Karasek | 204 | 1,161 | 6.0 | 105.5 | 74 | 12 |
| 28 | Jacob O'Hara | 10 | 121 | 12.1 | 15.1 | 43 | 0 |
| 15 | Donavin Friscone | 47 | 92 | 2.0 | 8.4 | 41 | 0 |
| 34 | Jack Lorz | 14 | 46 | 3.3 | 9.2 | 28 | 1 |
| 12 | Josh Lasky | 1 | 17 | 17.0 | 17.0 | 17 | 0 |
| 1 | Colin Grealis | 4 | 6 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 11 | 1 |
| 3 | Trey Gasparro | 2 | 2 | 2.0 | 0.2 | 2 | 0 |
| # | Player | REC | YDS | AVG | Y/G | LONG | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Trey Gasparro | 35 | 503 | 14.4 | 45.7 | 80 | 2 |
| 25 | Maks Karasek | 24 | 270 | 11.3 | 26.8 | 64 | 3 |
| 2 | Jack Boswell | 15 | 259 | 17.3 | 23.5 | 63 | 4 |
| 5 | Jose Caban | 11 | 162 | 14.7 | 16.4 | 55 | 1 |
| 10 | Reed Cervenka | 18 | 160 | 8.9 | 15.9 | 31 | 3 |
| 8 | Ryan Davidson | 6 | 84 | 14.0 | 11.7 | 28 | 0 |
| 21 | Connor Kramp | 6 | 56 | 9.3 | 7.0 | 16 | 0 |
| 9 | Vince Angelone | 2 | 25 | 12.5 | 5.0 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 | Brandon White | 1 | 14 | 14.0 | 3.5 | 14 | 0 |
| 7 | Justyn Gillispie | 2 | 8 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 9 | 0 |
| # | Player | RUSH | REC | KR | PR | IR | TOTAL | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Maks Karasek | 1,161 | 270 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1,431 | 130.1 |
| 3 | Trey Gasparro | 2 | 503 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 505 | 45.9 |
| 2 | Jack Boswell | 0 | 259 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 259 | 23.5 |
| 5 | Jose Caban | 0 | 162 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 162 | 14.7 |
| 10 | Reed Cervenka | 0 | 160 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 160 | 14.5 |
| 28 | Jacob O'Hara | 121 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 121 | 15.1 |
| 15 | Donavin Friscone | 92 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 92 | 8.4 |
| 8 | Ryan Davidson | 0 | 84 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 84 | 10.5 |
| 21 | Connor Kramp | 0 | 56 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 56 | 5.6 |
| 34 | Jack Lorz | 46 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 46 | 6.6 |
| 9 | Vince Angelone | 0 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 5.0 |
| 12 | Josh Lasky | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 17.0 |
| 13 | Brandon White | 0 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 3.5 |
| 7 | Justyn Gillispie | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0.9 |
| 1 | Colin Grealis | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1.5 |
| # | Player | RUSH | PASS | REC | TOTAL | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Donavin Friscone | 92 | 1,474 | 0 | 1,566 | 142.4 |
| 25 | Maks Karasek | 1,161 | 0 | 270 | 1,431 | 130.1 |
| 3 | Trey Gasparro | 2 | 0 | 503 | 505 | 45.3 |
| 2 | Jack Boswell | 0 | 0 | 259 | 259 | 23.5 |
| 5 | Jose Caban | 0 | 0 | 162 | 162 | 16.4 |
| 10 | Reed Cervenka | 0 | 0 | 160 | 160 | 15.9 |
| 28 | Jacob O'Hara | 121 | 0 | 0 | 121 | 15.1 |
| 8 | Ryan Davidson | 0 | 0 | 84 | 84 | 11.7 |
| 1 | Colin Grealis | 6 | 56 | 0 | 62 | 20.7 |
| 21 | Connor Kramp | 0 | 0 | 56 | 56 | 7.0 |
| 34 | Jack Lorz | 46 | 0 | 0 | 46 | 9.2 |
| 9 | Vince Angelone | 0 | 0 | 25 | 25 | 5.0 |
| 12 | Josh Lasky | 17 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 17.0 |
| 13 | Brandon White | 0 | 0 | 14 | 14 | 3.5 |
| 7 | Justyn Gillispie | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 1.0 |
Copley Stats (2026-2027)
| # | Player | CMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | Y/G | TD | INT | LONG | QB RTG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Dane Wininger | 153 | 260 | 58.8% | 2,350 | 220.2 | 25 | 9 | 90 | 114.5 |
| # | Player | ATT | YDS | AVG | Y/G | LONG | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Jalen Owens | 176 | 1,147 | 6.9 | 110.4 | 55 | 9 |
| 17 | Dane Wininger | 97 | 401 | 4.1 | 36.5 | 68 | 8 |
| 0 | MJ Garden | 16 | 78 | 4.9 | 9.8 | 32 | 2 |
| 31 | Grayson Pavlovich | 7 | 69 | 9.9 | 34.5 | 44 | 2 |
| 23 | Danny Niemczura | 5 | 46 | 9.2 | 6.6 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 | Warren Brockmeyer | 5 | 43 | 8.6 | 14.3 | 45 | 1 |
| 8 | Ashton Smith | 4 | 24 | 6.0 | 2.7 | 9 | 0 |
| 5 | Jordan Saunders | 2 | 23 | 11.5 | 2.6 | 19 | 0 |
| 1 | Noah Slattery | 4 | 23 | 7.7 | 2.6 | 15 | 0 |
| 7 | Breylen Stanford | 1 | 12 | 12.0 | 1.5 | 12 | 0 |
| # | Player | REC | YDS | AVG | Y/G | LONG | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Noah Slattery | 57 | 1,040 | 18.2 | 95.1 | 90 | 14 |
| 6 | Jacob Kuczkowski | 28 | 413 | 14.8 | 37.5 | 60 | 2 |
| 2 | Jalen Owens | 29 | 349 | 12.0 | 35.9 | 60 | 3 |
| 7 | Breylen Stanford | 19 | 209 | 11.0 | 20.9 | 34 | 1 |
| 14 | Alex Teixeira | 6 | 165 | 27.5 | 41.3 | 55 | 3 |
| 11 | Carsen Manson | 5 | 93 | 18.6 | 15.5 | 30 | 0 |
| 23 | Danny Niemczura | 3 | 36 | 12.0 | 4.0 | 16 | 0 |
| 0 | MJ Garden | 2 | 29 | 14.5 | 3.6 | 15 | 0 |
| 8 | Ashton Smith | 1 | 9 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 9 | 0 |
| 88 | Mason Chapman | 2 | 7 | 3.5 | 0.8 | 5 | 2 |
| # | Player | RUSH | REC | KR | PR | IR | TOTAL | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Jalen Owens | 1,147 | 349 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1,496 | 136.0 |
| 1 | Noah Slattery | 23 | 1,040 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1,063 | 96.6 |
| 6 | Jacob Kuczkowski | 0 | 413 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 413 | 37.5 |
| 17 | Dane Wininger | 401 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 401 | 36.5 |
| 7 | Breylen Stanford | 12 | 209 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 221 | 22.1 |
| 14 | Alex Teixeira | 0 | 165 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 165 | 33.0 |
| 0 | MJ Garden | 78 | 29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 107 | 10.7 |
| 11 | Carsen Manson | 0 | 93 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 93 | 15.5 |
| 23 | Danny Niemczura | 46 | 36 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 82 | 9.1 |
| 31 | Grayson Pavlovich | 69 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 69 | 23.0 |
| 13 | Warren Brockmeyer | 43 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 43 | 10.8 |
| 8 | Ashton Smith | 24 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 33 | 3.0 |
| 5 | Jordan Saunders | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 2.1 |
| 88 | Mason Chapman | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0.6 |
| # | Player | RUSH | PASS | REC | TOTAL | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Dane Wininger | 401 | 2,350 | 0 | 2,751 | 250.1 |
| 2 | Jalen Owens | 1,147 | 0 | 349 | 1,496 | 146.3 |
| 1 | Noah Slattery | 23 | 0 | 1,040 | 1,063 | 97.7 |
| 6 | Jacob Kuczkowski | 0 | 0 | 413 | 413 | 37.5 |
| 7 | Breylen Stanford | 12 | 0 | 209 | 221 | 22.1 |
| 14 | Alex Teixeira | 0 | 0 | 165 | 165 | 41.3 |
| 0 | MJ Garden | 78 | 0 | 29 | 107 | 13.4 |
| 11 | Carsen Manson | 0 | 0 | 93 | 93 | 15.5 |
| 23 | Danny Niemczura | 46 | 0 | 36 | 82 | 9.7 |
| 31 | Grayson Pavlovich | 69 | 0 | 0 | 69 | 34.5 |
| 13 | Warren Brockmeyer | 43 | 0 | 0 | 43 | 14.3 |
| 8 | Ashton Smith | 24 | 0 | 9 | 33 | 3.7 |
| 5 | Jordan Saunders | 23 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 2.6 |
| 88 | Mason Chapman | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 0.8 |


