


Why the Predictor Favors Salem
Salem carries a 52% modeled win probability because Home field favors Salem; Program strength favors University School. The model refreshes as new results are entered.
The Ohio Varsity Matchup Predictor™ uses the previous three seasons as an early program-strength baseline, then shifts weight toward current-season record and PF/PA as results accumulate. Recent head-to-head results, strength of schedule, momentum and the longer recorded series provide additional context. An unfollowed team's missing data remains neutral instead of erasing known information about its opponent. Home field receives a small adjustment. Predicted score and win probability are editorial estimates, not betting lines.
Historical Notes
University School Win
- University School is now 42-80 when scoring 11-20 points since 1972.
Program Milestones
- University School has recorded 47 shutouts since 1972; the most recent was Oct. 30, 2026.
- University School has scored 40+ points 67 times since 1972 (most recently Oct. 9, 2026).
- The program has reached 50+ points 14 times since 1972 (most recently Aug. 21, 2026).
- Salem has recorded 37 shutouts since 1972; the most recent was Oct. 18, 2024.
- Salem has scored 40+ points 75 times since 1972 (most recently Sep. 11, 2026).
- The program has reached 50+ points 18 times since 1972 (most recently Sep. 4, 2026).
Record by Points Scored
Program record in games falling within each scoring range.
University School scoring history
Salem scoring history
Historical Data: Series records shown here cover 1972 through the latest imported season. Earlier meetings may not be included.
Top Performers
University



Salem
Team Stats
| Stat Category | University | Salem |
|---|---|---|
| Passing | ||
| Yards | 1640 | 0 |
| Comp-Att | 109-172 | 0-0 |
| Comp % | 63.4% | — |
| Yards/Att | 9.5 | — |
| TD / INT | 16 / 4 | 0 / 0 |
| Rushing | ||
| Yards | 1663 | 0 |
| Attempts | 315 | 0 |
| Yards/Carry | 5.3 | — |
| Touchdowns | 22 | 0 |
| Receiving | ||
| Yards | 1701 | 0 |
| Receptions | 113 | 0 |
| Yards/Catch | 15.1 | — |
| Touchdowns | 427 | 0 |
| Defense | ||
| Tackles | 64 | 0 |
| Sacks | 23 | 0 |
| Interceptions | 0 | 0 |
Player Stats
University Stats (2026-2027)
| # | Player | CMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | Y/G | TD | INT | LONG | QB RTG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Nico Morelli | 102 | 165 | 61.8% | 1,511 | 167.9 | 15 | 4 | 84 | 112.0 |
| 12 | Brooks Wilmink | 6 | 6 | 100.0% | 106 | 26.5 | 1 | 0 | 75 | 177.1 |
| 6 | Tylar Robinson | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 23 | 2.6 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 137.5 |
| # | Player | ATT | YDS | AVG | Y/G | LONG | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Asher Wilmink | 128 | 871 | 6.8 | 96.8 | 51 | 7 |
| 5 | Nico Morelli | 106 | 427 | 4.0 | 47.4 | 37 | 8 |
| 6 | Tylar Robinson | 22 | 138 | 6.3 | 15.3 | 20 | 5 |
| 8 | Michael Papouras | 22 | 108 | 4.9 | 13.5 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 | Kasey Mathews | 18 | 89 | 4.9 | 14.8 | 18 | 1 |
| 34 | Aaron Clayton | 15 | 55 | 3.7 | 27.5 | 22 | 1 |
| 2 | Mitchell Feather | 1 | 5 | 5.0 | 0.6 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 | Brooks Wilmink | 2 | -3 | -1.5 | -0.8 | 0 | 0 |
| 83 | Sonny Siegler | 1 | -27 | -27.0 | -4.5 | 0 | 0 |
| # | Player | REC | YDS | AVG | Y/G | LONG | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Tylar Robinson | 45 | 826 | 18.4 | 91.8 | 69 | 9 |
| 1 | Asher Wilmink | 17 | 247 | 14.5 | 27.4 | 84 | 2 |
| 7 | Jason Walker | 18 | 212 | 11.8 | 35.3 | 34 | 2 |
| 10 | Grant Brugger | 16 | 159 | 9.9 | 19.9 | 27 | 2 |
| 8 | Michael Papouras | 2 | 79 | 39.5 | 9.9 | 75 | 1 |
| 3 | Ethan Ewart | 5 | 71 | 14.2 | 10.1 | 35 | 0 |
| 28 | Challen Bell | 6 | 63 | 10.5 | 7.9 | 37 | 1 |
| 32 | Logan Robinson | 1 | 15 | 15.0 | 7.5 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 | Jerry Lavelle | 1 | 14 | 14.0 | 3.5 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 | Elijah Callahan | 1 | 12 | 12.0 | 6.0 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 | Gus Lucarelli | 1 | 3 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 3 | 0 |
| # | Player | RUSH | REC | KR | PR | IR | TOTAL | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Asher Wilmink | 871 | 247 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1,118 | 124.2 |
| 6 | Tylar Robinson | 138 | 826 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 964 | 107.1 |
| 5 | Nico Morelli | 427 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 427 | 47.4 |
| 7 | Jason Walker | 0 | 212 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 212 | 35.3 |
| 8 | Michael Papouras | 108 | 79 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 187 | 23.4 |
| 10 | Grant Brugger | 0 | 159 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 159 | 19.9 |
| 21 | Kasey Mathews | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 89 | 14.8 |
| 3 | Ethan Ewart | 0 | 71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 71 | 10.1 |
| 28 | Challen Bell | 0 | 63 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 63 | 7.9 |
| 34 | Aaron Clayton | 55 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 55 | 27.5 |
| 32 | Logan Robinson | 0 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 7.5 |
| 16 | Jerry Lavelle | 0 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 3.5 |
| 11 | Elijah Callahan | 0 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 6.0 |
| 2 | Mitchell Feather | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.6 |
| 25 | Gus Lucarelli | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3.0 |
| 12 | Brooks Wilmink | -3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | -0.8 |
| 83 | Sonny Siegler | -27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -27 | -4.5 |
| # | Player | RUSH | PASS | REC | TOTAL | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Nico Morelli | 427 | 1,511 | 0 | 1,938 | 215.3 |
| 1 | Asher Wilmink | 871 | 0 | 247 | 1,118 | 124.2 |
| 6 | Tylar Robinson | 138 | 23 | 826 | 987 | 109.7 |
| 7 | Jason Walker | 0 | 0 | 212 | 212 | 35.3 |
| 8 | Michael Papouras | 108 | 0 | 79 | 187 | 23.4 |
| 10 | Grant Brugger | 0 | 0 | 159 | 159 | 19.9 |
| 12 | Brooks Wilmink | -3 | 106 | 0 | 103 | 25.8 |
| 21 | Kasey Mathews | 89 | 0 | 0 | 89 | 14.8 |
| 3 | Ethan Ewart | 0 | 0 | 71 | 71 | 10.1 |
| 28 | Challen Bell | 0 | 0 | 63 | 63 | 7.9 |
| 34 | Aaron Clayton | 55 | 0 | 0 | 55 | 27.5 |
| 32 | Logan Robinson | 0 | 0 | 15 | 15 | 7.5 |
| 16 | Jerry Lavelle | 0 | 0 | 14 | 14 | 3.5 |
| 11 | Elijah Callahan | 0 | 0 | 12 | 12 | 6.0 |
| 2 | Mitchell Feather | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.6 |
| 25 | Gus Lucarelli | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3.0 |
| 83 | Sonny Siegler | -27 | 0 | 0 | -27 | -4.5 |
| # | Player | SOLO | AST | TOTAL | TFL | SACK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Hank Johnson | 2.0 | 3.0 | 9.0 | 12.0 | 0.0 |
| 54 | Jack Wynbrandt | 2.0 | 4.0 | 9.0 | 13.0 | 0.0 |
| 19 | Bobby Farrell | 2.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | 12.0 | 2.0 |
| 72 | Duncan Hollingsworth | 2.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 9.0 | 2.0 |
| 80 | Finn McClennan | 2.0 | 5.0 | 6.0 | 11.0 | 0.0 |
| 28 | Challen Bell | 2.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 |
| 67 | Jude Newton | 2.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 |
| 6 | Tylar Robinson | 2.0 | 9.0 | 4.0 | 13.0 | 5.0 |
| 13 | Cato Harrington | 2.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 |
| 22 | Connor Klug | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 |
| 2 | Mitchell Feather | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 |
| 42 | Olamidé Dalton | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 |
| 3 | Ethan Ewart | 2.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 |
| 16 | Jerry Lavelle | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 |
| 55 | Otto Rukenbrod | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 75 | Vincent Smith | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| # | Player | SACK | YDL | HUR | TACK | TFL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Nico Morelli | 5.0 | 30.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 6 | Tylar Robinson | 5.0 | 30.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 13.0 |
| 1 | Asher Wilmink | 3.0 | 18.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 19 | Bobby Farrell | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 12.0 |
| 13 | Cato Harrington | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 |
| 72 | Duncan Hollingsworth | 2.0 | 6.0 | 0.7 | 7.0 | 9.0 |
| 22 | Connor Klug | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 |
| 7 | Jason Walker | 1.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 67 | Jude Newton | 1.0 | 6.0 | 0.3 | 4.0 | 4.0 |
| 8 | Michael Papouras | 1.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |


